{"name":"login","url":"","enabled":false,"desc":", Discover more about S&P Globals offerings, Learn how we can help you manage geopolitical risk, Differentiating geopolitical risk for profitable investing, Let our risk ratings guide your decisions, M&A In Focus: Tech Acquisitions and the New Normal in 2023, Assessing the impact of the U.S. Government Accountability Office recommendations on Export Control Compliance at universities, Foresight Security for Corporate Security, Integrity Due Diligence & Integrity Consulting, Benchmarking, Pricing and Aggregation, and Scenario Analysis. They may have to balance, given the risks, near- and long-term market priorities. Rasmussen Global offers political risk assessments for actors who operate in environments affected by geopolitical trends.
Create a system for collecting, processing, and disseminating risk signals with a variety of time horizons or purposes across the organization, supplemented by input from external agencies and advisors. Regulatory Burdens
Integrate geopolitical signals and risk assessment into strategic-planning processes and define actionable strategies to both protect the business and take advantage of emerging opportunities. Theyre the industrial goods companies that shift production from one country to another because they correctly predict that rising protectionist sentiment in some key markets will lead to trade actions that will alter the economics of manufacturing. Geopolitics, corporate governance and ESG. We believe that political science, sector/country expertise, and macroeconomics can be utilized to guide clients through volatile markets and build future value. In volatile times such as these, a companys instinct is to focus on defenseto protect the business from harm. legal content, expertise, and technology, Find essential resources Below are several examples in which Kroll was able to help clients anticipate the type, probability and impact of geopolitical volatility on its operations in key emerging markets. Something went wrong. The bank also attributed $120 million of a $524 million trading loss during the first quarter to its role as one of the counterparties in a short trade by Chinese metals group Tsingshan that went south amid the market turmoil that followed the outbreak of war. Holistic-risk evaluators have the most highly developed geopolitical risk management operations. Governments can confiscate assets, nationalize property, breach contracts, impose embargos or prohibit trade with specific countries. We have developed an analytical tool for assessing an organizations geopolitical risk management practices and opportunity. Others may opt to identify as global entities because of the access it accords them to pursue business opportunities in emerging markets. Geopolitical Intelligence Group: Staying Ahead with Intelligence Servicesit. Thank you!
But so do some pharmaceutical, technology, and packaged goods companies. Unfortunately, geopolitical risk commonly is misunderstood by the Derek Leatherdale and Hanif Barma from the Risk Coalition identify in this article the key things that any board or risk committee should consider in the context of the complex and volatile geopolitical environment in which business now operates. They view disruption strategically, as a source of opportunity; embed risk management practices across the organization; and use advanced geopolitical-risk-monitoring tools and processes. Obtain the data you need to make the most informed decisions by accessing our extensive portfolio of information, analytics, and expertise. iStrategic LLC is a Political Risk Analysis and Consulting firm specializing in the Middle East and North Africa region. Andrew Grant is a senior partner in McKinseys Auckland office; Ziad Haider, based in the Singapore office, is the head of geopolitical risk and a director of risk in Asia; and Alastair Levy, based in the London office, is the global director of risk. Any discussion of such potentially existential issues must start at the top. We grouped companies into four general archetypes according to the extent to which they recognize and act on opportunities arising from geopolitical shiftsin addition to mitigating the downside risksand the intensity of focus and sophistication of processes with their organizations. Andrew Cuomo, Governor (NY) Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. A large organization is likely to have stakeholders with differing cultural reference points and opinions on issues such as human rights and privacy. "arrows": false,
Companies should also consider conducting geopolitical risk assessments at regular intervals throughout their exposure in that country in order to detect and respond to changes before they have a negative impact on the company. being employed directly by an oil firm or airline . New York NY 10055. Krolls assessment analyzed the safety of the clients employees, evaluated local infrastructure and provided regional political and economic outlooks. We help companies anticipate and quantify critical external strategic business risks that might adversely impact their investments, personnel, interests, and assets anywhere in the world. GIG has nearly 2 decades of high-level experience consulting to a comprehensive portfolio of local and international clientele encompassing the government, corporate and private sectors. Get the latest news and intelligence on global issues impacting business, politics, economics, military, security and energy. 08 March 2022. Internationally it poses increasing management challenges, particularly at board level.
Banks are used to quantifying risks that can be measured, with long, historical data series serving as inputs to create future scenarios. Our Asia-Pacific footprint is now a huge advantage.. 5. As a management consultant, Dr. Smith has worked for PA Consulting Group . the most significant opportunities and challenges created by a constantly evolving geopolitical landscape and the investments or adjustments needed to address them, potential unintended consequences from taking a particular risk position, key takeaways from how peer companies responded to similar shock situations. Sometimes, the payoff is simply that the company can continue doing business as usual. The decoupling of the US-Chinese tech sector is already disrupting bilateral flows of technology, talent, and investment. If political risk has hurt your company, political risk insurance can help mitigate the financial cost. Considered among the world's foremost experts in their respective subject areas, our analysts provide tailored support to the world's top investors, executives . The value of being able to anticipate, synthesize, and harness risk for potential gain has never been greater. Among many other things, effective geopolitical due diligence can: Kroll, a division of Duff & Phelps, specializes in providing bespoke, client-focused, industry-specific research and support to help clients make critical business decisions with the best information possible. Providing a regular forum for a board to examine pressure points and operating realities from multiple perspectives and air diverging views doesnt just improve decision making and establish an appetite for riskit helps create consensus across leadership on the issues. Theyre the technology companies and oil producers that can tell a political backlash is brewing well before it hits full force and then use their foresight to reposition their businesses ahead of competitors. Depending on the circumstance, a companys leaders may have to weigh the effect that political or media scrutiny on the companys operations in one area has on its holdings in other locales. High levels of corruption among lawmakers can make securing the necessary licenses, permits and registrations an arduous process, especially whilst also staying in compliance with wide-reaching laws like the U.S. FCPA. Human Rights Violations
[1] Geopolitical risk refers to situations involving power struggles such as wars, tensions or terrorist attacks that cannot be resolved peacefully. Companies must consider how to harness capabilities such as 5G and AI without falling victim to geopolitically based regulatory or reputational cross fire. The most successful opportunists carefully monitor any situation that may, at first glance, appear to be a threat. Understand counterparty risk with forward-looking analysis of reputational, legal and political risks associated with new or existing partners, Risk Quantification | Learn more about Avery Benton's work experience, education, connections & more by visiting their . . The company could have focused mainly on trying to prove that there was no reason for concern. 5
Eurasia Group's advisory and consulting business is built upon a research platform of leading political risk analysts and management consultants with deep country and sector expertise. One consumer packaged goods company we studied has developed a strong knowledge-sharing culture among functional networks. /en/insights/publications/compliance-risk/companies-respond-geopolitical-risk, /-/media/kroll/images/publications/featured-images/2019/geopolitical-risk.jpg?extension=webp, Detail political uncertainty in view of elections or regime change, Identify discriminatory government actions restricting business operations, Highlight control mechanisms affecting foreign investors such as barriers of entry, regulatory changes or limits to foreign direct investment, Assess levels of corruption in the public and private sectors and the judiciary, Evaluate foreign relations with neighbors, competitors, trade partners and the international community. Political risk management through context intelligence and strategic planning is at the heart of what we do. Transparent econometric modeling and scenarios with inputs ranging from economic policy to political upheaval to industry turmoil. Boston Consulting Group 2023. Geostrategic Business Group | EY - Global Close search Trending Why Chief Marketing Officers should be central to every transformation 31 Jan 2023 Consulting The CEO Imperative: How will CEOs respond to a new recession reality? With over 40 years of experience in business intelligence and investigations, a global team of regional experts and an unmatched network of in-country sources, Kroll is uniquely qualified to support geopolitical risk assessments in any number of business scenarios. The report draws on the survey results from nearly 700 experts and decision-makers globally who were asked about their concerns . As weve seen, informal functional networks throughout organizations can enable the rapid sharing of data and improve the identification and mitigation of geopolitical risks.
Provide cogent geopolitical risk . Independent data and analysis for opportunity sizing, local partner selection, government stakeholder assessment and risk assessment. for broadcasters and publishers, Explore our tax and Another short-term action is to invest in strategy, PR, and government-relations teams that can serve as the companys points of contact with senior government officials and key stakeholders in multiple jurisdictions. Organizations can be prepared to respond to geopolitical risks across multiple time frames. Nowhere is the fallout from current geopolitical tensions more apparent than the unfolding competition between China and the United States. Casper Wuite, 55 East 52nd Street 17 Fl
Supporting corporate third-party management programs to drive risk-based due diligence decisions. Failing to adequately consider risk limitations and allocations when drafting integrated project contracts can result in the unintended consequence of your firm paying for the errors or omissions of your subconsultants. Improve your understanding and modeling of country and economic risk across countries and sectors. The Ukraine war is likely to drive geopolitical fragmentation and the emergence of blocs, in our view, BlackRock said in its report. As political frictions inside and among regions heat up, the likelihood increases that they will affect a global enterprises operations, performance, or people. The Volatility and Risk Institute has embarked on a study of geopolitical risk and its relation to financial risks. Please try again later! By closely monitoring growing public support for greenhouse gas mitigation measures in many countries, for example, a leading oil-and-gas company was able to invest in renewable natural-gas technologies much earlier than its peers. ), policy decisions (limits to foreign direct investment, tolerance of corrupt elites, etc.) Stay connected with us and get all latest updates. Coco Feng, Chinese president Xi Jinping seeks to rally countrys scientists for unprecedented contest,.
Building a more holistic and entrepreneurial approach requires action in all three dimensions: enhancing the strategic role of risk management, ingraining it into the organization, and developing robust processes. Quantifying return on advocacy is difficult, however. The Chertoff Group leverages this broad and deep expertise . We are constantly searching for overlooked assets where we can navigate the risk, while others are unwilling or unable to, an executive of a private-equity firm with a decades-long record of success in emerging markets told us. The Company: International Consulting Company is a global consulting firm based in Hong Kong. And differences can dissolve into disagreements about risk and And they may have to grapple with a global workforce with divergent views on issues such as data privacy and human rights. Compacts provide strategic guidance for engaging within a country. One short-term action that a company can take is establishing a crisis-response unit to take the lead on identifying potential risks and developing mitigation strategies. Capital reserves, credit portfolios, investment policies and capital and debt profiles all demand constant scrutiny to adequately manage and mitigate risk. & account inquiries, For CA: Do not sell my personal information. Questions to ask about key business risks arising from geopolitical and related crises Strategic, operational, financial and compliance risks are common level-one risk categories that board members and management need to consider. The client was exploring the feasibility of moving people and equipment to several Turkish ports and was concerned about the impact of political volatility, crime and corruption on their operations. "autoplaySpeed":8000
In the aftermath of the US presidential election, CFOs appeared very optimisticwith that quarter's survey registering the sharpest uptick in sentiment in its seven-year history. Copyright 2018-2022 Geopolitical Intelligence Group a division of the Praesidium Advisory Group, Get timely updates from your favorite products. Stakeholder and Influence Mapping Coco Feng, Chinese president Xi Jinping seeks to rally countrys scientists for unprecedented contest, South China Morning Post, May 29, 2021, scmp.com. Most companies do not have a dedicated team of full-time employees devoted to geopolitical risk management. Some may, for commercial and strategic reasons, choose to strengthen ties to the countries where the companies are based. Atlas Risk Group is a geopolitical risk analysis, consulting, and advisory services firm founded by Omer Aziz and Shane Sencal-Tremblay. "autoplay":true,
Eurasia Group 2023. Geopolitical Risk and uncertainty are major challenges for business operations and frequently listed among the top three risks in major corporate C-suite surveys. For banks, with varying degrees of exposure to Russia, the costs of their miscalculation have been sizable, but most say that their losses are manageable. Discussions can focus on three risk areas: brand and reputation; operational issues, such as cybersecurity strategy; and products, services, and partnerships. Any copying or distribution of Eurasia Group materials is prohibited. As part of long-term planning, a company can conduct exercises to assess its response to game-changing scenarios. firms, Access global tax, legal, They view disruption strategically, as a source of opportunity; embed risk management practices across the organization; and use advanced geopolitical-risk-monitoring tools and processes. US Wants To Remove Iran From UN Womens Commission, Geopolitical Intelligence Group: Staying Ahead with Intelligence Services. Geopolitics is personal. According to our research, the consistent winners apply a highly developed approach to geopolitical risk management that emphasizes opportunity rather than just mitigation, involves the entire organization, and leverages sophisticated and robust analytical processes. We call these archetypes holistic-risk evaluators, risk entrepreneurs, systemic-risk managers, and nascent-risk managers. Managing geopolitical risk. Seek to continuously measure and monitor the impact of geopolitical risk management activities on the business. BCG was the pioneer in business strategy when it was founded in 1963. The firm serves financial institutions, private equity . The organization saw a troubling trend in a number of key markets that could potentially threaten its growing cloud-storage business: mounting anxiety on the part of policymakers and customers, who were worried that local governments could access confidential data kept on servers in certain countries. Conduct time-efficient international policy monitoring and updates. All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, age, religion, sex, sexual orientation, gender identity / expression, national origin, protected veteran status, or any other characteristic protected under federal, state or local law, where applicable, and those with criminal histories will be considered in a manner consistent with applicable state and local laws.Pursuant to Transparency in Coverage final rules (85 FR 72158) set forth in the United States by The Departments of the Treasury, Labor, and Health and Human Services click here to access required Machine Readable Files or here to access the Federal No Surprises Bill Act Disclosure. Sorry, something went wrong. Kroll OnTrack Inc. or their affiliated businesses. . Trade Wars and a Stronger Europe. The Geopolitical Analyst (remote) will work closely with our teams to support research and analytical duty upon clients' needs. trust us to help them make informed decisions, Professional services To gain a deeper understanding of the geopolitical risk management practices of global companies, we conducted structured interviews with current and former senior executives of large organizations, with various headquarters locations, in ten diverse industries. Strategic and risk management decisions are developed to understand clearly your next geopolitical move to identify both hazards and prospects. | Eurasia Group is the world's leading global political risk research and consulting firm. (See Exhibit 2.). Resource shortages likely to disrupt critical supply chains in South Africa, US Weekly Economic Commentary: Stubborn inflation clouds the outlook, Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities down as energy crisis recedes, The global economy moves forward, averting recession, #China is set to cut its #crude throughputs in March from the recent highs in February as maintenance season starts https://t.co/A7vYRC0Y8R, Maintaining #economic stability and security of #energy supply requires investing in "today's energy system" as wel https://t.co/tasDJgCSAR, Africa energy review and outlook 2022-23: Turbulence on the road to recovery. Our intelligence analysts are building on 20 years experience in understanding political risks faced by our clients in insurance and financial services. For example, the Iran nuclear talks have significant regional and global consequences. Full-Time. Industries that are positively exposed to geopolitical risks suffer a decline in investment that is larger than the aggregate effect. . "fade": true,
Norwegian Risk Consulting International - NRCI - is a geopolitical risk consultancy founded in 2010. Integrated solutions - consulting, risk management and broking - to help organizations prevent and protect against interlinked geopolitical risks. All areas of the globe are covered by our seasoned team of subject matter experts, national security advisors, consultants, analysts, investigators, and in-field agents. Complying with anti-money laundering and anti-bribery and corruption regulations. (See Exhibit 1.) Our geopolitical risk intelligence solutions provide end-to-end coverage of political, violent, sovereign, banking and investment risk worldwide. A strong cross-functional interface is critical, especially for companies that take a holistic approach to risk assessment. Access daily analysis of world events, detailed country reports, proprietary country and sovereign risk ratings, and comprehensive economic forecasts and historical data to assess your companys investments and future growth, Foresight Security for Corporate Security accounting technology, guidance, and expertise, Let us help you solve If companies operate in markets that are high risk because of political instability or the threat of international sanctions, they can develop market-specific assessments or compacts that fuse corporate strategy and risk management. As a result, the company was able to significantly expand its cloud business and gain advantage over competitors that were slower to act. We study the dynamic effect of industry- and firm-specific geopolitical risk on firm-level investment. Companies also have been attempting to measure the impact of their lobbying efforts on governments, such as by benchmarking the success of their advocacy compared with that of their industry peers or estimating potential cost savings. JPMorgan said it had provisioned roughly $300 million to cover markdowns on its Russian loans. The 16th edition of the Global Risks Report, published by the World Economic Forum with support from Marsh McLennan, highlights the disruptive implications of major risks, including the COVID-19 pandemic, that may reshape our world in 2021 and over the next decade. Country risk mapping. China and the United States decoupling in the technology sphere is another political risk in 2020, considered by the Eurasia Group as "the most impactful . Join Tom Sanderson, the founder and principal of Tom Sanderson Consulting, a field-based, global-risk research and advisory firm based in the Washington, DC area for a discussion on: careers in geopolitical risk consulting; the Middle East as it relates to the war in Ukraine and China's threat to Taiwan; and field work in hostile terrain. SVA ( www.stevevickersassociates.com) is a specialist international risk mitigation, corporate intelligence and risk consulting company. One way to initiate a more strategic approach is by assessing the risks that matter the most to a business. Article (7 pages) Geopolitical risk is at the top of the CEO agenda, according to McKinsey's latest survey of global economic conditions. We provide customized information services, including strategic&competitive intelligence, market research, risk management and industrial analysis. 2023 Kroll, LLC. 1. One stream is to work for consultancies - i.e. Citi. In the next two decades, competition for global influence is likely to reach its highest level since the Cold War. Forecasting government action and decisions. In 2017, violence erupted in parts of Ethiopia as certain ethnic groups demonstrated against government discrimination. Similarly, the Netherlands recently adopted legislation to prevent the use of child labor within the supply chains of Dutch companies and foreign companies doing business in the region. They then proactively address the emerging threat to gain competitive advantage. Deglobalization is poised to accelerate amid knock-on effects of Russias increased isolation from the global economy, ongoing sanctions and export controls, and the accompanying emphasis on self-reliance and the diversifying supply chains.. 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