Its unclear whether he makes the team worth a buck or two if he does, and will probably get another long look at some point. This ADP is probably underselling where he was drafted in keeper leagues last year, but no matter the extent of the discount, it's a welcome one for a 22-year-old already in the No. $16, Jesse Winker, MIL Two surgeries in September topped off a season that also included back spasms, a sprained ankle and bruised wrist. $14, Seiya Suzuki, CHC The clichd question was whether he would hit the MLB fastball. The 23-year-old righty was limited to just 76 innings last year thanks to a lat injury but dominated while healthy. Ji Hwan Bae, PIT Mostly a middle infielder in the minors, likely to get a chance to play center field. Bankable for four cats. Feb 28, 2023. Im betting on a subpar season, even a return to utility status. $10, Leody Taveras, TEX They called him up on June 13 and played him full time. $1, Corey Dickerson, WAS Perhaps a little something left. I'm not head over heels for Gallen the way some analysts seem to be. Plus, of course, hes pretty strictly platooned. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. The designationsReserve AandReserve Bare players I consider worth a shot, more or less, but not a dollar, usually because they wont be starting in the majors. $1. The 29-year-old righty inked a five-year, $75 million deal with the Mets after putting together a sterling record in 11 seasons as a part of the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks. $4, Oswaldo Cabrera, NYY Held his own in the majors and could develop either more power or more BA/OBP, or I suppose both, but what he has done so far indicates a fourth outfielder for a real team. He should be hitting .250 with 35 HRs. A sophomore slump is certainly possible as pitchers tempt him to chase. Kelenic played well in Triple-A, thus making another case for the generally low level of play there these days. Both his Sprint Speed (78th%) and SB time to second base (3.65 seconds) suggest that 30 bags are in reach, but these things are will rather than skill. Morel may swing himself out of the majors slow stuff got him out but he hit fastballs, both 2- and 4-seam. $9, Riley Greene, DET Sweet lefty swing but looked tentative too often. Or as we used to say, half his hits went for extra bases. They knew he was fast and figured hed hit for average, but the power and discipline were suspect. Painter wont turn 20 until April 1 so if he breaks camp with the club, he could be the first teenager to throw a pitch in the majors since 2016 (Julio Uras) and just the third since 1984 (Flix Hernndez) when Dwight Gooden made his magical debut and Jose Rijo gave the Yankees a decent 62 innings of work (3.94 FIP). Schwarber is no great bargain at an ADP of 61, but he looks good to at least earn his pay. A big key for the Three True Outcomes guys is opposite field power, which Stowers has. Kyle Stowers, BAL A memorable first major league home run: down one run with two outs in the ninth against Liam Hendricks, Stowers hit a foul popup that Adam Engel dropped. Good contact at 14.3% Ks in the majors, and perhaps surprisingly hes been a 50% FB hitter. The Phillies seem to be saying, Yeah, but what you see is what you get, meaning .260/.309/.374. Early drafters dont seem to be worried and thats fine, but should Soto be taken ahead of Yordan Alvarez or Vlad Jr.? He didnt do a ton in his major league debut (76 wRC+) after clubbing 23 homers in Double- and Triple-A for Minnesota and Cincinnati. Charlie Blackmon, COL Well, duh, he exercised his $18M option. Even in 2021, he had a .485 and a .650 among monthly splits that averaged out to his .816. Cody Bellinger, CHC Racking whats left of my brain trying to think of another in-his-prime MVP who so completely tanked. Tremendous talent but given his struggles at the upper levels, very probably at least a year away. PFA, Gilberto Celestino, MIN No signs of a bat and hes not all that fast. Fr nhere Informationen zur Nutzung Ihrer Daten lesen Sie bitte unsere Datenschutzerklrung und Cookie-Richtlinie. Various injuries have taken him a down a couple of pegs to an ADP of 89, and I sure like the idea of having two outfielders at that point. You simply can't expect to do better with the pick you're giving up to keep him. You know, find out if the guy is going to help you now or down the road. Whatever doubts we had about sinking a first-round pick into him last year have since been refuted, and if you can keep this five-category threat for anything less, wowie. Im further assuming that he will be a pure rabbit. Speedy, but .345 slugging in five minor league seasons limits him, and hell probably strike out too much to stick. $18, Bryan Reynolds, PIT Three more homers in 14 fewer games, but all his other hits were down more, as both his Ks and Sw/Str were up. Little guy who is unlikely to top 10-12 HRs in the majors at this time. $3. Teoscar never hit that well in Toronto, as its not the great hitters park that some claim, and yet he takes a hit in Seattle. After 130 innings between the minors and majors last year, theres no reason he cant put up a full workload this year, especially with no one pushing him out of the rotation. Adam Duvall, BOS Worth a little chase, and make it look like youre hot for him, when in reality your bid price is firm. PFAmeans Possible Free Agent, or not worth a precious reserve slot because they are further from contributing for various reasons but no doubt some will have 2023 impact. On the other hand, a power surge is likely enough given his history plus a small gain in K rate (still a little high at 24.2%). Between Clase and Diaz, I'd go the other way in a redraft league, but in a keeper format, I'll give the edge to the guy four years Diaz's youth. Now theyre saying hes still a regular, possibly the center fielder? Better counts equates to better hitting. His Sprint Speed has fallen far, from 95.8% in 2020 to 65th% in 2022, with an intermediate 73rd% in 2021. Hed be worth several dollars with a change of scenery. $20. Fantasy Baseball: Top 50 keepers for 2022 based on last year's ADP If you have to factor "value" into your keeper decisions, this list is for you. $3, AJ Pollock, SEA Last full season was 2015 and his .593 OPS vs. righties eliminates him from serious consideration. Definitely worth a buck if its clear hell make the team. Updated: Wednesday, March 1, 2023 11:12 PM ET, Park Factors
Hes not really good enough to bat cleanup but he does anyway. Keeper Value Rankings are intended for Keeper Leagues in which a fantasy owner must forfeit a designated. He has a bead on a full-time role out of camp and playing half his games in Cincinnati (aka Coors Jr.) instantly makes him fantasy relevant. Vaughns .271 BA is not a fluke at all, its actually the low side of what you would expect. $9, Mark Canha, NYM Not quite a full-time player, and you cant figure hell play more at age 34. Expect more of the same or better. But I still dont see it. The hit tool, however, leaves a lot to be desired and his 2022 explosion was the first time he had hit well since Rookie ball back in 2017. Not punchless but no real power. And now, when hes washed up, he gets an $18M golden parachute. . He's a bit like Cristian Javier in that his breakout coincided with the end of the juiced ball era, changing his fly-ball tendencies from a strength to a weakness, but he's even more at the league's mercy because he doesn't miss bats at as high of a rate. Reserve B, Jake Meyers, HOU Nice 38 games at Triple-A coming off shoulder surgery. One more chance. He was good enough as a rookie to trust he'll at least be of some use in 2023, and with his pedigree, there's a chance this discount pays off for years to come. Walker is a victim of recency bias, as he had a pretty . Andrew McCutchen, PIT He will never lose his game awareness, and since hes running as fast as ever, maybe we should expect a SB spike. A better real player than a category hitter, and yet a .300 season with 15 HRs is not much of a stretch, and he did play through a broken toe. It added up to better than average his first time around, nothing shining but nothing glaring. Christopher Morel, CHC Also qualifies at second base, with 18 games at third base and 13 at shortstop. PFA, Niko Goodrum, BOS From either side, all he can hit are pitches middle middle. A sneaky silver lining if Brown does spend time in the bullpen is that he will likely garner high leverage opportunities in a multi-inning relief role, which could lead to a handful of wins and keep him fantasy viable while he awaits his chance in the rotation. Does it use ESPN's standard settings, or more traditional or even deeper roster settings? Anyway, Id like to see what Sheets can do playing every day after a winter of pitch recognition training. Will Benson, CIN Has size (6-foot-5, 230 pounds) and some power/speed. Kyle Muller | LHP, OAK | 477 ADP Dont sweat his ugly 12 innings with Atlanta, as his 135 innings at Triple-A tell more of the story and not just because they were good! 6 pick from 2021 enjoyed the rare four-level season (five if you count Arizona Fall League as its own), excelling at Rookie, A-ball, and High-A before hitting a wall at Double-A. Jarren Duran, BOS May be forced to sacrifice power for contact, at least in the immediate future. If hes pushing into the 20s with his HR and SB, no one will care if it comes with a .250s AVG. So I guess we can bank on 10 SBs. He should bounce back in BABIP, as is his wont. Worry more that his strikeouts soared to 35.2%. The Tigers sent him down and that didnt help either. No doubt Taveras is a burner, with 91st% Sprint Speed and a career 29-for-35 SB rate. There are more than 50 quality keepers, no doubt, so don't freak out if that one you're dead set on didn't make the cut. He will look to use Coors spacious outfield dimensions to collect base hits and then leverage his base running smarts (80% MiLB SB rate) to turn those singles into makeshift doubles. Unfortunately, at seasons end it was .261/.309/.366. That would be good enough on most teams but the Cardinals may disagree and they are loaded anyway so loaded that a trade or even two is likely. Its just that when so many are willing to go the extra buck, the bucks add up fast. PFA, Drew Waters, KC 27.5% Ks in the minors are too many for a power hitter, and way too many for a speedster. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Will likely get a full shot to play, which means you cant go far wrong for $4. $3, Sam Hilliard, ATL I guess the Braves see something, but possibly just organizational depth. These 25 guys (plus a few Honorable Mentions) arent draftable in every format, but I wanted to cast a wide net so that the list has utility across many formats and can be revisited when those who dont break camp on a big league roster are called up. Not overmatched in the bigs at first glance. Slashed .314/.371/.524 last year at three minor league levels. Anybody can struggle on first and second exposure, but a .168 BA in 558 PAs is flirting with the irredeemable. This bid assumes a regular gig to start. Eric Karabell makes bold fantasy-relevant predictions for each of the 15 National League teams. Neither of these two are on the 40-man roster, which currently leaves them behind Honorable Mentions Ryan Pepiot (great stuff, poor command) and Michael Grove (lesser stuff than Pepiot and command issues of his own), both of whom debuted last year, though one or both could establish themselves in the bullpen if veterans Jimmy Nelson and Shelby Miller continue to battle health issues. I just worry about the PAs. A decent reserve pick in mixed leagues. If I knew the 14 SBs would repeat, hed rank higher because otherwise Springer is money to do what he does. This assumes that Yoshida will be able to handle the increased velocity hes going to see. Taj Bradley | RHP, TBR | 550 ADP Eric highlighted how Bradley maintained his velo spike from 2020 and with his plus command, hes now a premium prospect a step away from the majors after 59 innings at Triple-A last year. Therefore, we dont want Pham in mixed leagues except as a hole-filler if he happens to be playing. With an average or better hit tool, he should avoid the all-or-nothing power profile of teammate Bobby Dalbec. Reserve A, Kerry Carpenter, DET Played himself into prospect status with a .331/.420/.644 slash at Triple-A Toledo. Capel was a decent prospect as a fifth-rounder out of high school in 2016, a slow developer but his progress is evident. I was surprised to see Henderson going in to the Top 100 at the beginning of draft season. Why would he? And tactically, it is an enormous help at the table when considering that extra buck. Mookie Betts, LAD Mighty impressive to score 117 runs in 142 games, but he has now hit .267 for the past two years and stolen 22 bases in those two years. An asset in three cats, a liability in two, which to me means he shouldnt be the 29th outfielder off the board, but at least he gives your team a clear direction going forward. He's lived up to his high ranking on this list year after year and should continue to do so even as he enters his 30s, making across-the-board contributions at one of the most critical positions to fill early. Of course, thats a double-edged sword, as the As will also be light on offense and bullpen support, which will likely leave him with a single-digit win total. Caution advised. Ohtani is more like a late first-rounder than an early-first rounder, at least in a weekly league where you have to choose between his hitting and pitching stats, but he's lived up to it two years in a row and is still in his prime at 28. Seattle Mariners outfielder Julio Rodriguez delivered an epic 2022 season, . Perhaps hell platoon in Pittsburgh or Detroit. Its always hard to read the spring training tea leaves, but knowing that the Cardinals will give Walker every opportunity to win a job out of camp pushed him up this board. With serious prospect competition in the Redbirds outfield, it is unwise to expect full-time play. Maybe it can still happen with Adell, clearly hes got tools, but he continues to lack skills, including skill in the outfield, which doesnt help his chances. If he combines an above-average hit tool with plus power and a return to his previously strong plate skills, there is big upside here, especially at a light fantasy position. His 258 ADP is a beautiful thing in the rapidly thinning outfield of 2023. Baty has the hitting profile to find immediate success in the majors and he taps more into that 70 raw power; the upside is top shelf. The 2023 fantasy baseball season is rapidly approaching, and if you're looking for a particularly enticing challenge in the new year, consider a dynasty league! Id go to double figures if he makes the team. Not that hes without a chance in the outfield 11 of his 31 hits were for extra bases and he stole four bases. Vargas tore up Triple-A (129 wRC+, 17 HR, 16 SB) but struggled to find his footing in a scant 50 plate appearance debut with just a 26 wRC+. You think Vince Coleman had a high hard hit rate? At age 32, after hitting .232 and slugging .382 for the past five injury-riddled years, Im not budging off my original price. It jumped another five points at Triple-A and while it was only weeklong sample, I do think it is indicative of the main issue he will have in the majors. Peace through hatred. $13. 10:25 am ET. $13. He did finish the season back on the mound, making three rehab starts at High- and Double-A before returning to Triple-A for three more. Hes got just enough power to justify the outs. $39, two more in OBP leagues. The real shocker is his 45.1% HH rate, and its now 658 PAs. $36. Its relative, not much difference in the roto standings, I daresay. There are workload and durability concerns, however. He is also on a brutal team, so his fantasy production will be reliant upon his ratios and strikeouts wins will be tough to come by. PFA, Steven Duggar, LAD I guess hes a reclamation project, but all there is to reclaim so far are strikeouts. Eloy Jimnez, CHW Quietly back on track double his numbers in 84 games and youve got a star. There remains the more likely possibility that Vierling uses those hard hits to a BA advantage. Or rather, Ill take him on one mixed league team if the price is low enough, and stay far away in an AL league. Even if he had excelled he posted a meager 51 wRC+ the sample size would still be far too small to make any worthwhile judgments. Therefore, I want no part of Straw in an AL league. Not safe from disappointment. Keep tabs on him as a potential in-season pick-up, though. His .794 OPS vs. righties would dictate his role in a sane universe. Dont get me wrong, Harris is too good to collapse. PFA, Khalil Lee, NYM Had 33% Ks at Syracuse, and nothing will happen until that changes drastically. Nothing spectacular here but hes an all-around ballplayer, from a major league family (son of 15-year journeyman Mark Guthrie). $3, Stone Garrett, WAS Lots of power and some speed, but 52% fly balls and 32% Ks tell us that his BA is headed for a fall, possibly off a cliff. Fantasy sports doesn't sleep, and neither does Fantrax, with . The thing is, last year was a bad year for him. Kepler is a fly-ball hitter but less than he used to be, but that doesnt explain much. Are PSG better off without Neymar in big games? The question is whether its still predictable, and I vote very probably. It may not be so in September, or July. Speaking of that, he is already dealing with some lat discomfort and the Guardians wont have any issues being conservative with the 26-year-old righty, which bumped him down a couple spots given his history. If I had to pick first, Id take Rodrguez, because I think right now hes the best five-cat hitter of the bunch. Its always hard to know what the Rays will do with a young arm, though, so I couldnt put him in the main list right now. $18, George Springer, TOR Like Marte above, a better play in mixed leagues. $15, Ian Happ, CHC Hitting lefties better, and anytime anyone improves almost anything in the major leagues its significant. Juan Soto, SD Swung at just 59.1% of the strikes he saw, ranking 127th out of 130 qualifying hitters. 2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Prep: Top 50 keeper rankings based on 2020 Average Draft Position If you have to factor "value" into your keeper decisions, this list is for you. It is worth familiarizing yourself with them so you are ready to bid on the ones who arent draftable in your particular league. LaMonte Wade, SF I still cant get over the fact that in four minor league seasons Wade walked more that he struck out. Millers blazing upper-90s heater lays the foundation for a four-pitch mix that also features a plus slider, plus changeup, and workable curveball. If Im nitpicking, well, were talking about a high-end first-round hitter. Though he's not my choice to be drafted No. The 65th percentile is fast enough to steal 30 bases if he wants to, but he may stop at 10. But I guess its all relative so there wouldnt be. His OPS when ahead in the count was .971, which is not much better than the MLB average by the way, but when behind in the count it was a beneath abysmal .284. section: | slug: 2022-fantasy-baseball-draft-prep-top-150-rankings-for-dynasty-leagues-complete-with-value-ratings | sport: baseball | route: article_single_fantasy | But before getting really enthusiastic, Id like to see Robert running in the spring. His Sprint Speed has fallen far, from 95.8% in 2020 to 65th% in 2022, with an intermediate 73rd% in 2021. Which overlooked pitchers have the skill set to come up with a big season? Im going to project him as a near full-timer. Great defense keeps him in the league, but he played better for Tampa and still his OPS was .660. PFA, Cole Tucker, COL Unlikely to finally emerge but at least hes in the right place. Only 21 of those came at Triple-A, so he will start the season there and continue to refine his command with a good chance at a summer debut. Gotta bid something and hope for the best, but not a target in AL leagues. $18, Taylor Ward, LAA He really did improve, fulfilling expectations better late than never. Also a career-low 23.2% Ks. Perazas major league-ready glove at a premium position will give his bat some leeway and he shouldnt face much pressure from Volpe until later in the year, if at all. We publish player rankings by position throughout January - with projections and thoughts next to each player. The numbers game could push his debut to the summer, as all three of the other fifth starter contenders are already on the 40-man and have more Triple-A experience than Pfaadt. Part 8 explains advanced statistics available to the fantasy baseball manager and how to apply them. Ortizs 20% K-BB rate in Double- and Triple-A was 18th in the minors (min. ROS Top 200 Fantasy Hockey Rankings for 2022-23 . Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted
$9, Avisal Garca, MIA What a senseless signing, a cheap team throwing away money. Fast-forward to today - Maeda is healthy, sitting 90/91 mph in his first spring . HH stuff is there. Conforto is good enough to be one of the somebodies, and good enough to beat the ballpark to some extent, especially if he forgets trying to hit homers at home and takes the doubles and triples that the park encourages. Infielder in the roto standings, I daresay Ian Happ, CHC Also qualifies at second,. Worth several dollars with a.250s AVG christopher morel, CHC Racking whats left of my brain trying think... In Triple-A, thus making another case for the Three True Outcomes guys is opposite field power, Stowers... Power to justify the outs Maeda is healthy, sitting 90/91 mph in his first spring, not much in. 2- and 4-seam Pollock, SEA last full season was 2015 and his.593 vs.. Nitpicking, well, were talking about a high-end first-round hitter play in mixed leagues like... 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