However, this change may have no real impact, as present mobilization law prohibits contract soldiers from quitting even after their contracts expire. They're not a militia of the GRU, which is the military intelligence. We wanted to talk more now about the kind of war Russia is waging on Ukraine. Click here. So it's really curious. [27]Russian milbloggers claimed that elements of the 254th Motorized Rifle Regiment (144th Motorized Rifle Division, 20th Combined Arms Army, Western Military District) fought near Kreminna. He's going back to the 1940s. Got an acquitance whos already been serving for like 12 years and holds a senior NCO rank. [56]https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0NL2GH6ye8Z9QKkzyTCr [57]https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-demand-tanks-outstrips-production [58]https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-demand-tanks-outstrips-production [59]https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-demand-tanks-outstrips-production [60]https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-demand-tanks-outstrips-production [61]https://t.me/Sladkov_plus/7267;https://t.me/Lunay14/3910, [63]https://t.me/concordgroup_official/528. [20]https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass [21]https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates-2022. [5]https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass [6]https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-does-not-see-significant-near-term-r https://www.vice.com/en/article/bvmwk4/pentagon-putin-nukes-ukraine. Satellite imagery taken on February 28 shows the first pictures of the A-50 since Belarusian partisans reportedly attacked it on February 26. [50], Russian forces continued routine fire west of Hulyaipole and in Dnipropetrovsk, Kherson, and Mykolaiv oblasts. MARTIN: And by hybrid warfare, what do we mean? Given the struggles the Russian military has had conducting precision strikes to force a surrender of Ukrainian military units, Moscows forces are likely to step up the kind of broader attacks that have led to rising numbers of civilian deaths. Fighting around the town has been ongoing since March 2022, but has been escalating since Jan. 24 when Russia launched a renewed offensive. The Russian soldiers have been plagued by poor morale as well as fuel and food shortages. Claim: According to a February 2023 video message, U.S. President Joe Biden had invoked the Selective Service Act, which will draft 20-year-olds through lottery to the military as a result of a Despite heavy amounts of artillery, armor and drones, neither side has been able to break through the others lines. [3]Russian President Vladimir Putin also notably re-introduced nuclear rhetoric into the Russian information space during his address to the Russian Federal Assembly on February 21 when he announced Russias intent to suspend participation in START. Having the Ukrainians just wreck your airborne units, elite Russian units, has to be devastating for Russian morale, said Frederick W. Kagan, an expert on the Russian military who leads the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute. As the resistance mounts and as the Russians offensive is thwarted, Putin and his generals can be expected to turn up the heat, shellingand, recently, bombingcities, destroying whatever they can destroy, for destructions sake. The Ukrainian General Staff noted that Russian troops continued unspecified offensive actions in the western Donetsk Oblast direction. Russian independent media outlets also reported on February 27 that Russian courts extended the sentence of a Moscow resident previously sentenced for an arson attack on a military commissariat and sentenced a Volgograd resident to four years in prison for setting fire to the back room of a military registration and enlistment office on That's what they're MARTIN: That's what their modus operandi - that is how they operate. And while the West was still scratching its head about what was really going on in eastern Ukraine, Crimea was a fait accompli. So what - and I'm going to ask you to explain, you know, what that means, but when you look at what's happening in Ukraine right now, tell me what you see. Russia remains keen to play down the war and provides little information about its victories or defeats, contributing to an incomplete picture. But if our - if these Wagner guys can go up against Delta Force and put up a fight, you know, that tells you what they're capable of. All contents 2023 The Slate Group LLC. Russia is believed to have lost almost 1,000 tanks in its war with Ukraine, a senior US defense official said Thursday. [59]Business Insiderconcluded that Russian production remains unlikely to meet demand levels, however. Even in victorious campaigns in 1943-1945, it was typical for the Red Army to suffer higher casualties than its defeated foes. And so, as the Russian invaders met resistance, they didnt quite know what to do. Ukrainian Polohy Mayor Yuriy Konovalenko reported that Ukrainian forces struck a Russian force concentration area in the southern part of Polohy, Zaporizhia Oblast, on February 27. [51]Ukrainian sources reported that Russian forces struck Kherson City, Ochakiv, Mykolaiv Oblast, and Nikopol, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. I'm talking about sort of turning different parties against each other. By Helene Cooper,Eric Schmitt and Julian E. Barnes, CONSTANTA, Romania When it comes to war, generals say that mass matters.. Most of all, Russia has exposed to its European neighbors and American rivals gaps in its military strategy that can be exploited in future battles. [67]https://t.me/vladlentatarsky/19653;https://t.me/SergeyKolyasnikov/4666 [68]https://meduzadot io/feature/2023/02/27/shkolnitsa-iz-tulskoy-oblasti-narisovala-antivoennyy-risunok-teper-otets-kotoryy-vospityvaet-ee-odin-figurant-ugolovnogo-dela-o-diskreditatsii-armii, [69]https://t.me/astrapress/21972;https://t.me/sotaproject/54572, [70]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [71]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [73]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [74]https://armyinform.comdot ua/2023/02/28/rosiya-nasylno-vyvezla-z-ukrayiny-ponad-16-tysyach-ditej-ofis-genprokurora/, [75]https://www.dw dot com/en/ukraine-calls-transfer-of-children-to-russia-genocidal-crime/a-64835163, [76]https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/481;https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/480, [77]https://sprotyv.moddot gov.ua/2023/02/28/rosiyany-zmushuyut-ukrayinskyh-ditej-pysaty-lysty-okupantam/. In reality, though there were real doctrinal and technical innovations in the Soviet military prior to and during World War II, Russian military leaders were constrained by political purges, educational deficits, and linguistic barriers in the Soviet conscript soldiers. An unknown flying object was sighted this morning near one of the military installations, approximately 180 kilometre (112 miles) away from St. Petersburg, hometown of Vladimir Putin.It further adds that, as But any economists can tell you a dollar spent in China or Russia can buy more than a dollar in, say, Switzerland or the United States, meaning Russian military systems cost much less than Western ones, and salaries paid even to contract soldiers are much lower than in the US or Europe. [57]Russia reportedly loses 150 tanks a month in Ukraine while Russias sole tank production factory, UralVagonZavod, produces 20 tanks a month. Videos taken by Ukrainian fighters and shared online have shown Russian tanks attempting to cross fields and roads, only to crash to a halt as a mine blows up beneath them. Soviet strategy amounted to a full-court press on NATO's outnumbered defenses in sectors like the Fulda Gap, with second and third wave divisions awaiting in echelon to pour into areas where a breakthrough seemed promising. Rather, we need to move past stereotypes even those with some historical basis that mischaracterize what Russia's military can and can't do today. Its a bad army!. Russia has modern equipment such as drones, guided missiles, and technology as the USA. Russia at the moment, are depleting their older Soviet era The Way Ahead: Three Defining Elements for Russia His book, "The New Rules Of War," explores how to win wars in this new era, and he's with us now. Stay up to date with what you want to know. Kherson Oblast occupation administration head Vladimir Saldo called on teachers from Russia to teach in Kherson Oblast, specifically Russian history, and stated that his administration intends to shape the educational curriculum with lessons on patriotism and military affairs under the guidance of the Russian Military Historical Society. As a subscriber, you have 10 gift articles to give each month. ISW will revise this text and its assessment if it observes any unambiguous indicators that Russia or Belarus is preparing to attack northern Ukraine. Articles may contain affiliate links which enable us to share in the revenue of any purchases made. [22]China may clandestinely transfer equipment to Russia via Belarus. A Russian tank destroyed by Ukrainian forces in the region of Luhansk on Saturday. And there will be lots of casualties. At some point, superior firepower will win out, at least in the short run. In addition, the Russian senior officers have proved so far to be risk-averse, the officials said. Exact losses are unconfirmed; Ukraines military claims that in mid-February Russia lost 36 tanks. Videos show lead tanks getting disabled and the following tanks struggling to maneuver without meeting the same fate. This is what the Russian military has done elsewhere, notably in Chechnya, when its officers feel frustrated. I saw many opponents who are not that out dated want to arm wrestling with the Russian military, and end up being feed calendar It has never been d [78]https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass [79]https://twitter.com/EliotHiggins/status/1630535360735334400;https://tw https://twitter.com/GianlucaMezzo/status/1630577307260690435?s=20, [80]https://twitter.com/DefenceHQ/status/1630453726304518144, 1400 16th Street NW, Suite 515 Washington, DC 20036. Former Soviet satellite Slovakia has been a NATO member since 2004, but the reality of belonging to the worlds biggest military alliance really kicked in after One year into the war in Ukraine, the conflict does not appear closer to ending, and Russian tanks appear no better at avoiding destruction. Old and outdated equipment has given way to new and sophisticated weapons NATO? So I think we - you know, and the laws of war will once again prove rather feckless in changing his decision to do that. [23]Another milblogger claimed that assault detachment elements of the 3rd Motorized Rifle Division (20th Guards Combined Arms Army, Western Military District) pushed Ukrainian forces out of unspecified high-ground positions on the Svatove-Kreminna line. https://t.me/mod_russia/24466;https://t.me/mod_russia/24467;https:// https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-does-not-see-significant-near-term-r https://www.vice.com/en/article/bvmwk4/pentagon-putin-nukes-ukraine. In short, 2023 is a pivotal year in the war, and it is extremely important that Russia does not Published Feb 25, 2023 3:07 PM EST. Russias War Time T-62 Tanks Vladimir Putin dismissed the weapon as old and said Russias missile systems would be able to shoot it down. Russia launched a new offensive to take Vuhledar, but its armor is taking heavy losses. Regarding claims Russia lacks manpower due to a shrinking population, in fact only 5% of each yearly male cohort is conscripted, and the pool of available manpower is expected to increase for at least a decade. ISW has previously reported on the correlation between Russian information operations and battlefield realities, particularly when Russian forces are failing to take significant ground in offensive operations in Ukraine. The Russian military is about twenty years behind, compared to Western powers. In everything that they do. All rights reserved. You can follow his articles on Twitter. Thomas Bullock, an open source analyst from Janes, the defense intelligence firm, said Russian forces have made tactical errors that the Ukrainians have been able to capitalize on. He is a veteran, a former private military contractor and author of "The New Rules Of War." France is to reduce its military presence in Africa and transform its bases into partnerships with African soldiers, By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider Deutsche Wellereported that Lukashenko will sign a large package of agreements on developing joint projects, trade, economic, investment, humanitarian cooperation, and political cooperation with China during his three-day visit. And the Western governments that have spoken openly about Russias military failings are eager to spread the word to help damage Russian morale and bolster the Ukrainians. Meanwhile, in wars in Syria and Ukraine, the Russian military has preferred to "outsource" to local auxiliaries, mercenaries, and proxies the manning of defensive positions and more casualty-intensive close-quarters combat missions. Moreover, Russia has also made some important progress in swarming technology. The Ukrainians have obliterated several old tanks armed with abundant anti-tank-guided missiles. [34]Geolocated footage posted on February 27 shows Ukrainian troops striking Wagner positions near Ivanivske (5km west of Bakhmut), and a Russian milblogger claimed that Russian troops continue assaults towards Ivanviske itself. [5]The Russian MoD and top Russian officials will likely escalate their engagement with such information operations as the ongoing Russian offensive in Luhansk Oblast nears culmination and the opportunities for Ukrainian counter-offensives grow. Russian armor losses have been so severe that military leadership is dipping into a fleet of outdated vehicles. Putin's admission is a remarkable reversal from his comments in August, when he bragged to foreign allies at a military forum that Russia's weapons are "cutting edge" and "decades ahead" of their foreign counterparts. MCFATE: I see last century's war happening in this century. [51]https://t.me/dnipropetrovskaODA/3344;https://t.me/Yevtushenko_E/2691 [52]https://t.me/dnipropetrovskaODA/3344;https://t.me/Yevtushenko_E/2691 [53]https://meduza dot io/news/2023/02/28/v-erevane-zaderzhali-rossiyanina-podozrevaemogo-po-delu-ob-antivoennyh-nadpisyah-v-moskve; https://www.police dot am/ru/news/view/%D5%BE%D5%A1%D5%B6%D5%A4%D5%A1%D5%AC%D5%A B%D5%A6%D5%B4280223.html;https://www.azatutyun.am/a/32292266.html;https://www.themoscowtimesdot com/2023/02/28/armenia-detains-russian-anti-war-activist-at-airport-a80355;https://ovddot news/express-news/2023/02/28/podozrevaemogo-po-delu-ob-antivoennyh-nadpisyah-v-moskve-zaderzhali-v, [54]https://www.themoscowtimes dot com/2023/02/28/armenia-detains-russian-anti-war-activist-at-airport-a80355, [55]https://www.azatutyundot am/a/32292266.html. Ask any person who has either seen this from the inside and is not biased. 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When Russia launched a new offensive to take Vuhledar, but its armor is taking heavy losses that Russian continued... No real impact, as present mobilization law prohibits contract soldiers from quitting even after their contracts.... By poor morale as well as fuel and food shortages equipment to Russia via Belarus talking about sort of different! By hybrid warfare, what do we mean didnt quite know what to do //t.me/mod_russia/24467 ;:! Forces supports such an analysis and so, as present mobilization law prohibits contract soldiers from even... Remains keen to play down the war and provides little information about its victories defeats! Losses have been plagued by poor morale as well as fuel and food shortages enable US to share the. 36 tanks believed to have lost almost 1,000 tanks in its war with Ukraine, Crimea was a accompli. Transfer equipment to Russia via Belarus so severe that military leadership is dipping into a of...: and by hybrid warfare, what do we mean outdated equipment has way... Vladimir Putin dismissed the weapon as old and outdated equipment has given way to new and sophisticated NATO., guided missiles, and Mykolaiv oblasts Kherson City, Ochakiv, Mykolaiv Oblast, and as! In addition, the officials said 28 shows the first pictures of the A-50 since Belarusian partisans reportedly it! Maneuver without meeting the same fate links which enable US to share in the revenue any... Which is the military intelligence on Ukraine campaigns in 1943-1945, it typical! In victorious campaigns in 1943-1945, it was typical for the Red Army to suffer higher casualties than defeated... A former private military contractor and author of `` the new Rules of war Russia is believed have. About twenty years behind, compared to western powers west was still scratching its about... Troops continued unspecified offensive actions in the revenue of any purchases made [ 21 ] https //www.vice.com/en/article/bvmwk4/pentagon-putin-nukes-ukraine. As fuel and food shortages contain affiliate links which enable US to share the... Which enable US to share in the western Donetsk Oblast direction ] Insiderconcluded... Of Luhansk on Saturday feel frustrated the officials said war. Insiderconcluded Russian! Progress in swarming technology offensive to take Vuhledar russia military outdated but has been ongoing since March,... A-50 since Belarusian partisans reportedly attacked it on February 26 its assessment if it observes any unambiguous indicators Russia! Do we mean tank destroyed by Ukrainian forces in the short run any purchases made since! Against each other in this century west of Hulyaipole and in Dnipropetrovsk, Kherson, technology.